Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.274903 0.324475 0.383660 0.460484 0.558997 0.683098 0.854596
2025-01-19 0.200706 0.259611 0.339470 0.459464 0.642440 0.924522 1.423336
2025-01-26 0.162774 0.224752 0.317005 0.472412 0.746471 1.254709 2.412248
2025-02-02 0.139759 0.202985 0.304335 0.492122 0.868740 1.702455 4.197561
2025-02-09 0.122499 0.185128 0.291660 0.505353 0.985237 2.241700 7.286477
2025-02-16 0.110047 0.172042 0.283068 0.522220 1.119622 2.973901 13.465308
2025-02-23 0.099471 0.159927 0.272973 0.531944 1.244178 3.852385 25.685763
2025-03-02 0.090426 0.148860 0.262229 0.536342 1.359366 4.903073 51.967029
2025-03-09 0.082311 0.138173 0.249945 0.532953 1.451389 6.062632 111.359831
2025-03-16 0.074770 0.127480 0.235583 0.519821 1.504775 7.181980 247.901511
2025-03-23 0.070654 0.122898 0.233544 0.539389 1.698963 9.893511 1326.383416
2025-03-30 0.065008 0.114494 0.221432 0.526616 1.754426 11.784543 8325.235790
2025-04-06 0.061209 0.109538 0.216738 0.535794 1.926953 15.976924 NaN
2025-04-13 0.056959 0.103162 0.207683 0.528971 2.022106 20.128701 NaN
2025-04-20 0.054203 0.099657 0.205075 0.542832 2.251036 29.297496 NaN
2025-04-27 0.052110 0.097339 0.205045 0.565979 2.573850 47.283837 NaN
2025-05-04 0.049882 0.094455 0.203059 0.581730 2.881004 76.424877 NaN
2025-05-11 0.048002 0.092145 0.202221 0.602006 3.267815 137.903906 NaN
2025-05-18 0.045979 0.089283 0.199412 0.613727 3.618535 252.338821 NaN
2025-05-25 0.043927 0.086144 0.195345 0.619035 3.934897 477.987240 NaN
2025-06-01 0.041779 0.082573 0.189528 0.614939 4.161391 889.529257 NaN
2025-06-08 0.039492 0.078473 0.181630 0.599088 4.239481 1473.404067 NaN
2025-06-15 0.038419 0.077235 0.182053 0.622715 4.879783 8078.668642 NaN